الاثنين، 26 ديسمبر 2011

Lincoln Tribune

Lincoln Tribune

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Time to Ditch the Vicious “Spend and Tax” Roller Coaster

Posted: 26 Dec 2011 01:30 AM PST

Brian Balfour

By Brian Balfour | Civitas Institute

Roller coasters at amusement parks are fun. Taking North Carolina's state budget on a roller coaster ride, however, is highly damaging and disruptive to the state's economy and core government services. It's time North Carolina budget writers choose a smoother path.

Examining the last three decades of state budgets in North Carolina reveals an indisputable and dangerous pattern: rapid rises during flush economic times followed by sharp declines when recession hits. Indeed, the state's current budget woes are just the latest predictable dip following the most recent ascent to ever-greater heights in the budgetary roller coaster.

A few data points can help to clarify this trend. In the four years leading up to the current budgetary crisis, state spending grew by a total of 30 percent – at an average annual spike of 8.6 percent. Similarly, in the four years prior to the state's previous budgetary cutback in 2000-01, state spending grew by a total of 34 percent – for an average annual growth rate of 9.2 percent.

Going back a little further, the state budget experienced another drop off in 1995-96. But this was preceded by a four-year spending hike totaling 31 percent, an annual average increase of 9.7 percent.

I could go on and on, but you get the idea.

Accompanying each of these roller-coaster type drops is predictable panic among state legislators. Budget writers frantically scramble to adjust to the reality that their spending binges proved to be unsustainable yet again as the economy falls into recession. Typically legislators reach deeper into the pockets of taxpayers to cover their self-inflicted shortfall.

Interestingly, North Carolina has been virtually alone among state governments in their desperate tax grabs in the twenty-first century. According to Governing magazine, North Carolina was one of only four states to raise total taxes by more than 1 percent in 2001. Furthermore, North Carolina raised all three of the major state taxes (income, sales, corporate) in 2009 – while no other southeastern state raised any of those three.

In other words, North Carolina stands out in the region and nation as embarking upon reckless budgetary expansions during times of robust economic growth. Such patterns then prompt state lawmakers to be uniquely desperate to hike tax rates as the economy turns sour.

As this process of spend and tax plays out with every economic cycle over time it afflicts North Carolina with a "ratchet up" effect. After each dip is over, taxes don't fall back to the previous level and spending resumes at a dizzying pace once again.

Take the case of state tax rates. The "temporary" tax increases imposed in the 2001-02 budget to counteract the recession at that time proved to be not so temporary. Higher income and sales tax rates were extended multiple times, remaining in place four years longer than originally promised. In fact, part of the "temporary" sales tax increase was made permanent and still remains in effect today.

The major components of the 2009 tax increases did expire as scheduled, though not without a fight. However, several new taxes included in that package, such as higher rates on cigarettes, alcohol and digital products were permanent.

On the spending side, the ratchet effect is even more evident. A review of the 30-year period from 1979 to 2009, for instance, shows that North Carolina's state budget – even after adjusting for inflation – more than tripled in the 30 years preceding the current recession. Moreover, inflation-adjusted state spending grew at more than three times the pace of population growth during the same period.

The end result of this spend and tax roller coaster is that taxpayers, state budget writers and agency heads are suffering from whiplash. It is past due time to consider a smoother budgetary road.

A Taxpayer Bill of Rights (TABOR) would level out these dramatic rises and dips in the state budget. The basic premise behind a TABOR is to install sensible restrictions on the growth rate of state spending, in order to smooth over the wild spending and tax swings that North Carolina has experienced in the past. In short, a TABOR restricts the growth rate of the state budget each year to not exceed a combination of inflation and population growth.

Rather than extreme ratcheting up of spending by 8 or 9 percent annually during healthy economic times, a TABOR would limit these annual growth rates to a more sensible 4 or 5 percent per year in most years. The extra revenue collected would not be spent, but rather set aside in a rainy day fund, to be made available to fill the budget shortfall when the next recession hits. As an added bonus, once the rainy day fund is fully stocked, further excess revenue could be returned to taxpayers.

Under a TABOR, the next time a recession hits state lawmakers wouldn't need to panic. There would be plenty of funds set aside to draw upon to balance the budget without punishing taxpayers with another massive tax hike.

A TABOR is an essential tool for smoothing out the vicious roller-coaster ride the state budget has experienced for decades. A smoother, more predictable budget cycle will also make it much easier for state agencies to plan their budgets ahead of time, rather than suffer through wild ups and downs.

It's time to end the unrestrained peaks and valleys of our state budget. No more vicious spend and tax cycles. No more panic. North Carolina needs a TABOR.

Brian Balfour is a budget and tax policy analyst at the Civitas Institute in Raleigh (nccivitas.org)


Christmas Bird Count

Posted: 25 Dec 2011 09:00 PM PST

Profile AmericaProfile America — Monday, December 26th. Thousands of Americans got up early this morning to take part in a tradition more than 100 years old — the Christmas Bird Count. Started in 1900, the count was the idea of Frank Chapman — as an alternative to the tradition of the Christmas “side hunt,” in which hunters competed to see how many birds they could kill, regardless of their rarity or use as food. The first Christmas bird count saw 27 people take part. Recently, more than 50,000 volunteers have participated. Their work is coordinated by the Audubon Society and has become a valuable tool in assessing the health of bird populations and guiding conservation efforts. This year’s count runs through January 5th. Nearly 14 million people annually in the U.S. enjoy bird watching. Profile America is in its 15th year as a public service of the U.S. Census Bureau.

Sources: Chase’s Calendar of Events 2011, p. 599
National Audubon Society
Statistical Abstract of the United States 2012, t. 1240
http://www.census.gov/compendia/statab/2012edition.html


Bethlehem Celebrates a Peaceful Christmas

Posted: 25 Dec 2011 12:38 PM PST

Tens of thousands of Christians visited the West Bank town of Bethlehem for Christmas celebrations hosted by the Palestinian Authority.

Pilgrims from around the world braved the cold and rain to celebrate Christmas in Bethlehem. They visited the ancient Church of the Nativity, which is built above the grotto where tradition says Jesus was born.

Marilyn Bentley came from California, in the United States. "It's wonderful to be right on site where these things happened, where it all began. It's a very sacred place; it's just a very deep feeling in our hearts. It's just a reinforcement of our belief and our faith," she said.

John Howerton, from the U.S. state of Texas, said "It's awesome. It's like a dream. It's so wonderful to be here and you have to keep sort of pinching yourself and say, 'This is really, this is the place, this is where the Lord came and appeared among men.'"

It was the biggest turnout in more than a decade thanks to a long lull in West Bank violence, and that is good news for Palestinian shopkeepers in Manger Square, like Wissam Issid.

"Now is very good. Each time we have a stable political situation, we have a good tourist season," he said.

But Issid says Christmas week is not enough to make a living, and tourism has been harmed this year by the revolutions of the "Arab Spring." He said many tourists don't differentiate between one part of the Middle East and another.

"Some people, they don't know where is Egypt or where is the Holy Land; so they are afraid - all the tourists - because they are a little bit afraid to come to troubled places," he said.

With all the turmoil in Arab nations, the usually volatile West Bank has been a surprising bastion of stability. And it was a peaceful Christmas in the little town where Christians believe Jesus was born more than 2,000 years ago.


Iran Denies US Accusation of Harboring Al-Qaida Financier

Posted: 25 Dec 2011 10:16 AM PST

Iran is denying a U.S. accusation that it is harboring an al-Qaida financier suspected of moving money and terrorist recruits through Iran to al-Qaida bases in Afghanistan and Pakistan.

The U.S. government announced a $10 million reward Thursday for information leading to the capture of the alleged al-Qaida operative, Syrian-born Yasin al-Suri, also known as Ezedin Abdel Aziz Khalil. A State Department official said al-Suri has been operating inside Iran since 2005 under an agreement between al-Qaida and the Iranian government.

In a statement released Sunday, Iranian Foreign Ministry spokesman Ramin Mehmanparast said the accusation is completely baseless. He also rejected a December 22 New York court ruling that found Iran liable for helping al-Qaida to carry out the September 11, 2001 terrorist attacks on the United States. Relatives of the victims are suing the Iranian government and others for damages.

Mehmanparast accused the United States of promoting "amateurish scenarios" about Iranian links to al-Qaida. He called on the international community to express "deep concern" to Washington about what he called its "irresponsible behavior."

Iran has long denied harboring al-Qaida members or having any connection to the September 11 attacks.

Some information for this report was provided by AP, AFP and Reuters.

Join the conversation on our social journalism site - Middle East Voices. Follow our Middle East reports on Twitter and discuss them on our Facebook page.


Iran Denies US Accusation of Harboring Al-Qaida Financier

Posted: 25 Dec 2011 10:16 AM PST

Iran is denying a U.S. accusation that it is harboring an al-Qaida financier suspected of moving money and terrorist recruits through Iran to al-Qaida bases in Afghanistan and Pakistan.

The U.S. government announced a $10 million reward Thursday for information leading to the capture of the alleged al-Qaida operative, Syrian-born Yasin al-Suri, also known as Ezedin Abdel Aziz Khalil. A State Department official said al-Suri has been operating inside Iran since 2005 under an agreement between al-Qaida and the Iranian government.

In a statement released Sunday, Iranian Foreign Ministry spokesman Ramin Mehmanparast said the accusation is completely baseless. He also rejected a December 22 New York court ruling that found Iran liable for helping al-Qaida to carry out the September 11, 2001 terrorist attacks on the United States. Relatives of the victims are suing the Iranian government and others for damages.

Mehmanparast accused the United States of promoting "amateurish scenarios" about Iranian links to al-Qaida. He called on the international community to express "deep concern" to Washington about what he called its "irresponsible behavior."

Iran has long denied harboring al-Qaida members or having any connection to the September 11 attacks.

Some information for this report was provided by AP, AFP and Reuters.

Join the conversation on our social journalism site - Middle East Voices. Follow our Middle East reports on Twitter and discuss them on our Facebook page.


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